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cs.AI

DoctorAgents: an agentic framework to iteratively refine AutoML pipeline for small clinical temporal data

作者Ruilin Wang, Bo-Hong Wang, Elizabeth Kourbatski, Jun Bai, Hegang Chen, Ziyang Song, Gilles Boire, Marie Hudson, Yue Li

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Clinical machine learning (ML) has the potential to support high-stakes medical decision-making, but reliable deployment is often constrained by scarce, heterogeneous, and temporal complexity. Developing effective ML pipelines for such data remains time-consuming and error-prone, while existing automated machine learning (AutoML) systems only partially address this challenge because they largely rely on brute-force search over predefined spaces and lack explicit reasoning and memory. We therefore reformulate AutoML for small clinical data from exhaustive search to reasoning-driven refinement. We propose DoctorAgents, an agentic AI framework that autonomously constructs and optimizes end-to-end ML pipelines through specialized large language model (LLM) agents for generation, validation, and refinement. DoctorAgents backpropagates natural-language feedback through textual gradient descent to perform targeted updates without exhaustive search. Experiments across diverse clinical tasks show that DoctorAgents consistently outperforms established AutoML baselines while producing more interpretable task-specific representations.

ARXIV 2608.05375 ↗
cs.SE

Towards a Risk Assessment of Malicious Skill Files in Coding Agents

作者Rui Yang, Michael Fu, Kla Tantithamthavorn, Chetan Arora, Joey Chua

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Autonomous coding agents are increasingly embedded in enterprise software workflows with delegated authority over connected systems. Central to this architecture is the agent skills interface: folders of instructions and scripts that agents load dynamically to specialize their behavior. This interface also widens the attack surface, letting malicious shell commands hide within natural-language skill files. We make three contributions. First, an adversarial skill-synthesis method using six LLMs across four families to transform 471 real-world shell commands into benign-appearing skills, released as a benchmark of 2,826 skills mapped to 11 MITRE ATT&CK tactics. Second, a reproducible evaluation pipeline coupling run stratification, evidence anchoring, a refusal veto, and a deterministic declared-intent override with a three-judge LLM-as-a-judge panel, validated against a blind human gold standard (Cohen's kappa = 0.85). Third, a large-scale characterization of two enterprise-grade agents across 5,629 completed runs. Gemini CLI is exploited in 95.5-96.1% of runs and Qwen Code in 71.6-74.0% (raw majority vote to declared-intent-corrected estimate, both within the human gold standard), nearly invariant to the generating model. Explicit safety recognition occurs in only 1.99% of runs. Enterprises must assess and mitigate skill-interface risk before adopting coding agents. Our code and dataset are available at https://github.com/awsm-research/AgentJailbreak

ARXIV 2608.05223 ↗
cs.LG

Disentangling 3D Modeling from Spatial Reasoning

作者Haoze Sun, Jiequan Cui, Qingshan Xu, Richang Hong

展开完整摘要收起摘要

In this work, we explore an alternative paradigm for spatial reasoning by explicitly disentangling 3D perception from reasoning, rather than jointly acquiring implicit 3D perception and reasoning through large-scale training. Our key observation is that modern perception models excel at estimating continuous 3D geometry, whereas large language models (LLMs) are particularly effective at compositional and symbolic reasoning. Motivated by these complementary strengths, we propose the Disentangled Spatial Reasoner (DiSR), a simple yet effective framework that reconstructs the physical world into structured 3D evidence using off-the-shelf expert perception models and fine-tunes an LLM with LoRA to perform reasoning solely over this explicit geometric evidence. Without large-scale 3D VQA training or complex tool-use policies, DiSR achieves competitive performance on popular spatial reasoning benchmarks. Beyond its strong performance, DiSR offers improved interpretability, modularity, and computational efficiency, demonstrating that explicit separation of perception and reasoning is a scalable and effective alternative paradigm to end-to-end modeling for spatial intelligence.

ARXIV 2608.05242 ↗
cs.LG

When Do Corrective Features Help? An Agent for Corrective Feature Discovery on Black-Box Forecasters

作者Fangxin Wang, Ziyi Zhang, Diyi Zhuang, Langzhou He, Shiyu Wang, Baichuan Mo, Philip S. Yu

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Frozen pretrained forecasters often fail in structured, recurring ways that are costly to repair through fine-tuning. We study corrective feature discovery: mining interpretable features of a frozen forecaster's residual to drive a lightweight post-hoc corrector. Prior automated feature engineering models the data-generating process; corrective features instead model the model-failure process. We present CRAFTER (Corrective Residual Agent with Feature-based Temporal Exploration and Reasoning), which keeps the backbone frozen and mines its residual with two complementary generators: a compositional search over the raw input channels, and a large language model (LLM) that proposes named feature combinations, binary flags, and short executable code. A single validation-grounded gate accepts or rejects every candidate regardless of its origin, and a validation-selected corrector applies the accepted features or leaves the forecast unchanged. This source-agnostic pipeline also allows prior feature-engineering systems to be evaluated under identical conditions, making CRAFTER an instrument for attributing forecast improvements to the feature source alone. Across six public datasets and six frozen backbones, CRAFTER surpasses every dedicated feature-engineering system at every feature budget, roughly doubling the improvement achieved by the corrector alone and reducing the error of the weakest backbones by up to 27%. These gains are robust across different LLM backends and persist even when applied on top of fine-tuned backbones.

ARXIV 2608.05207 ↗
cs.AI

SearchAuditor: Auditing and Attributing Failures in Long-Horizon Search Agents

作者Zhixiang Liang, Yifei Liu, Yidan Huang, Haozhe Zhao, Beichen Huang, Jiaqi Wang, Nan Duan, Qiong Cao

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Deep search agents tackle challenging questions through long-horizon web interactions, a process that is both complex and fragile: small reasoning errors may propagate through long, noisy trajectories into fluent but incorrect answers. Diagnosing such failures is difficult, requiring the manual inspection of extremely long execution traces, which could be beyond human capacity. We therefore introduce SearchAuditBench, a benchmark that evaluates whether LLM auditors can localize, attribute, and repair these failures, thereby reducing the human burden. SearchAuditBench comprises 1,243 failed trajectories, averaging 73.1 messages and 65.1K tokens, collected from eight open-weight models on five deep-search benchmarks, each expert-annotated with the critical error step, a search-specific root cause, and a reference repair with grading rubrics. We further propose SearchAuditor, a multi-perspective auditing framework that effectively localizes, attributes, and repairs search-agent failures through evidence-grounded adjudication. Experimental results show that even the strongest baseline, when powered by a frontier model like GPT-5.5, attains only a 26.6% end-to-end pass rate. In contrast, our SearchAuditor consistently outperforms all baselines across different frontier models, achieving an end-to-end pass rate of 32.3%, and resuming failed runs with its repairs enables agents to better recover from errors.

ARXIV 2608.05212 ↗
cs.AI

OrchestraBench: Evaluating Multi-Agent Orchestration Failure Modes, Recovery, and Decomposition Quality

作者Yidian Chen, Yingzi Gu, Natan Vidra, Spurthi Setty, Sharon Zheng

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Multi-agent orchestration frameworks are moving from demos to production, yet benchmarks typically report task accuracy without diagnosing why a pipeline failed, where a cascade began, or which routing decision caused the breakdown. OrchestraBench evaluates failure, recovery, and decomposition through a controlled, seed-reproducible failure-injection harness over templated enterprise workflows. It introduces cascade radius and per-failure-mode recovery as primary metrics and compares routing policies with bootstrap confidence intervals and paired tests. On a 26-case gold-labelled diagnostic, a keyword/flag router scored 0% on adversarial cases with misleading or missing surface flags, whereas an intent-reasoning model router scored 100%, matching the oracle. Controlled mechanism probes with a real Claude agent over a verifiable arithmetic dependency chain revealed three failure-handling tiers across five MAST modes: tool faults recovered fully (1.0), ambiguous delegation recovered partially (0.30), and three latent or semantic modes never recovered (0.0). This ordering persisted when the computation was reframed as a loan-approval workflow and across Sonnet, Opus, and Haiku, although absolute rates shifted with context. Blind retry reproduced latent faults and increased time to detection, indicating that detection and attribution are necessary for containment. Cascade radius increased with pipeline depth (mean 0.9 to 4.7 across depths 3-7). A trusted-state repair ablation showed that apparent containment gains primarily came from the trusted-state signal rather than autonomous detection. These results are controlled-chain mechanism probes, not domain-workload claims.

ARXIV 2608.05263 ↗
cs.LG

DG-FedReuse: Proxy-Gradient-Gated Cached-Update Reuse with Matched Sparse Uplink Accounting

作者Rahil Aftab, Vineet Kumar Rakesh, Soumya Mazumdar, Tapas Samanta

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Federated learning repeatedly incurs local optimization and model-update transmission. We study DG-FedReuse, a simulator-level mechanism that allows selected clients to contribute age-decayed cached updates when a stochastic head-gradient discrepancy proxy remains below a round-dependent threshold. A hard cache-age limit and minimum fresh-client quota constrain reuse, while fresh updates use an adaptive per-tensor Top-K numerical-field representation. Experiments cover six image-classification datasets, 50 virtual clients, Dirichlet label heterogeneity (α=0.5), and three seeds. At a common 90-round budget, DG-FedReuse yields 83.36-85.42% modeled update-data-field uplink saving, compared with 76.88% for matched Top-K FedAvg; the seed-aligned accuracy differences range from -5.29 to -0.14 percentage points. Best-observed test accuracies obtained under test-controlled checkpointing are retained only as exploratory archival evidence and range from -2.38 to +0.45 percentage points relative to matched FedAvg. A symmetric dense-model-downlink sensitivity reduces the headline saving to 41.68-F42.71% and the incremental gain over Top-K FedAvg to 3.24-4.27 percentage points, demonstrating the dependence of communication conclusions on the accounting boundary. The study characterizes the proposed reuse rule in the implemented simulator; it does not establish unbiased generalization, end-to-end bandwidth reduction, runtime or energy savings, faster convergence, or superiority over existing stale-update and lazy-aggregation methods.

ARXIV 2608.05358 ↗
cs.CV

MOSAIK: Multi-Patch Content-Aware Spatial Allocation of Image Tokens for Efficient Generation

作者Mohammadreza Hami, Mohammadreza Samadi, Chao Gao, Negar Hassanpour

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Pixel-space diffusion models avoid the reconstruction ceiling of latent diffusion models by generating directly in image space. However, their substantially higher token count makes generation expensive due to the quadratic complexity of self-attention. Several existing efficiency methods reduce this cost by using larger patches at selected denoising steps, thereby representing the image with fewer tokens. Yet, each step still uses a single patch size uniformly across the entire image, overlooking that different regions suffer different fidelity losses when coarsened. We introduce MOSAIK, a damage-guided framework that varies patch size across regions and denoising steps. MOSAIK adapts the PixelDiT backbone to generate arbitrary heterogeneous patch layouts, and a lightweight predictor uses intermediate denoising features to estimate the fidelity loss caused by coarsening each region. Given a token budget, our damage-guided layout predictor assigns fine patches to sensitive regions and coarse patches elsewhere. Remarkably, while reducing FLOPs by 70% and token count by 83%, MOSAIK matches the full-compute PixelDiT on GenEval and its DPG-Bench score drops by only 1.0 point. Compared to diverse efficiency paradigms, including temporal patch scheduling and feature caching, our approach delivers highly competitive performance at moderate budgets and consistently outperforms these baselines in highly constrained compute regimes.

ARXIV 2608.05450 ↗
cs.DB

Filtered Vector Search in a Disaggregated Lakehouse: Composing Table-Format Pruning with Per-File ANN

作者Rakesh Jain, Thomas Griffin, Syed Zawad

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Approximate nearest-neighbor (ANN) search increasingly runs alongside structured data - "find the 10 nearest documents where tenant='acme' AND lang='en'" - yet similarity and filtering are usually bolted together: a specialized vector index for one, a separate filter step for the other. We ask what happens when both live inside an open lakehouse table (Apache Iceberg over Parquet on object storage), where the engine already owns a mature file-pruning stack (partition pruning, zone-maps, a bitmap index). We embed an IVF index in place in each Parquet file's footer and make filtered vector queries fast not with a new filtering algorithm but by composing the table's existing file pruning with per-file ANN: the planner prunes data files by the predicate first, then runs IVF only over the survivors. The index is built distributed and non-destructively - a metadata-only Iceberg replace that every other engine still reads - and a rendezvous-hashed per-file cache keeps object-store read latency from swamping the algorithmic win. The payoff comes entirely from file pruning. On an 11.5M x 768 table, warm IVF search is ~32x faster than brute force at recall@10 >= 0.90, a selective predicate having pruned 355 of 444 data files before ANN runs; on 5M real IBM Granite embeddings, a filter arriving across a join prunes four of five region partitions and runs nearly two orders of magnitude (~94x: 14.7 s -> 157 ms) faster than the query-time join at identical top-k, once the reduction is materialized into a region-partitioned layout. We characterize when the composition pays off - it requires file-level locality on the filter column, and the residual predicate is only safe to push into the search over a provably pure (partitioned) column, not a merely sorted one - and report the failure modes we hit bolting ANN onto a lakehouse engine.

ARXIV 2608.05441 ↗
cs.CL

DBLAST: Dependent Block Drafting for Stochastic Speculative Decoding

作者Amirmohammad Karimi, Chao Gao, Negar Hassanpour

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Speculative decoding accelerates large language models' inference by using a lightweight drafter to propose multiple future tokens and a target model to verify them. While recent block and diffusion-style drafters can predict several positions in a single pass, their training and sampling procedures are typically optimized for greedy decoding or assume that positions in the draft block are conditionally independent. This assumption becomes brittle in non-greedy speculative decoding, where the target distribution is deliberately stochastic and multiple continuations become plausible. We study this mismatch for block diffusion drafters and show that the accepted draft length degrades as the entropy of the target sampling distribution increases. We propose a dependent block drafter based on a low-rank latent mixture over token positions, complemented by an acceptance-oriented training objective that directly targets the expected verified length. Experiments with Qwen3-4B and Qwen3-8B on GSM8K, MT-Bench, HumanEval, and creative-writing benchmarks show that our approach, namely DBLast, consistently improves accepted length over independent block sampling, especially in higher-entropy decoding regimes.

ARXIV 2608.05448 ↗
quant-ph

One Qubit Can Beat One Bit: Quantum Advantage for Post-Training Quantization

作者Yuma Ichikawa, Moeto Mishima

展开完整摘要收起摘要

One-bit post-training quantization represents each weight using only its sign, requiring all deployment contexts to share the same binary weight matrix even when their activation statistics favor different sign patterns. We study this shared-sign constraint and introduce Quantum Random Access Quantization (QRAQ). This framework encodes context-dependent signs in a quantum random-access code and retrieves them via context-matched Pauli measurements. Under an explicit fresh-copy logical readout model, QRAQ produces an unbiased, context-specific binary surrogate with a tractable shot-noise penalty. We prove a row-wise separation from shared-sign one-bit PTQ with signed per-row scales. When the optimal context-wise signs are incompatible, QRAQ achieves a strictly lower ideal reconstruction risk. We also derive finite-shot and calibrated-noise conditions under which this separation is retained. Fixed-readout quantum schemes are classically simulable, so the relevant resource in this model is measurement incompatibility rather than quantization alone. Finally, we characterize the role of scale granularity, provide finite-sample certificates, and evaluate the predicted ideal, finite-shot, noisy, and multi-context regimes in simulator experiments.

ARXIV 2608.05240 ↗
cs.LG

QEvict: Recoverable Quantized KV Eviction for Attention-Drift-Robust Long-Context Decoding

作者Ayushman Garg, Akshita Gupta, Shaswata Bhattacharya, Abhishek Gupta, Sandeep Kumar, Manoj Kumar

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Autoregressive large language model inference is increasingly constrained by the memory footprint of the Key-Value (KV) cache. A dominant line of work reduces this footprint by evicting tokens that appear unimportant under attention-derived scores. However, such policies make an implicit irreversible decision: once a token is evicted, it cannot become useful again. We show that this assumption is brittle during decoding. Token and window importance drift as generated queries evolve, causing standard eviction policies to permanently discard states that later receive substantial attention under the full-cache model. To characterize this behaviour, we introduce Future Missed Mass and Global LIR, two diagnostics that measure future attention assigned to discarded states and the reactivation of historically inactive regions. We propose QEvict, a three-tier KV-cache management scheme that replaces binary retain-or-delete eviction with recoverable eviction. QEvict maintains high-confidence windows in full precision, stores intermediate windows in a quantized recoverable tier, and deletes only the lowest-confidence windows. During decoding, cumulative attention scores update window importance and when a quantized window becomes important again, it is dequantized and promoted to the full-precision. Under a fixed memory budget, this design preserves broader historical context while retaining exact full precision for the most important regions. Across long-context understanding, retrieval, and reasoning benchmarks, QEvict consistently improves over representative eviction and quantization baselines, reducing missed attention and improving information retention

ARXIV 2608.05326 ↗
cs.AR

EdgeXpert: An Edge Device for Memory-Efficient LLM Inference with Mixture-of-Experts and Speculative Decoding

作者Sangwoo Ha, Hyunwoo Seo, Yurim Jo, Youngjin Moon, Hoi-Jun Yoo

展开完整摘要收起摘要

On-device deployment of Large Language Models (LLMs) has become essential for personalized edge applications. A primary bottleneck is external memory access (EMA) in feed-forward network (FFN) layers. Speculative decoding and mixture-of-experts (MoE) are promising solutions. Speculative decoding reduces the number of decoding stages by generating multiple tokens per stage, and MoE minimizes per-stage cost through sparse expert activation. However, there is an incompatibility when combining these two techniques. We propose EdgeXpert, a software-hardware co-designed LLM accelerator that resolves this incompatibility. In the prefill stage, the prompt-wise expert reuse reformulates routing as prompt-level expert reuse rather than independent per-token expert selection. It identifies important tokens using a lightweight encoder, constructs a shared expert set from them, and routes less important tokens with a reduced expert budget to lower expert EMA. In the decode stage, depth-aware expert coalescing exploits the contextual similarity and mutual exclusivity of same-depth candidate tokens. Rather than loading the union of all required channels, EdgeXpert loads only salient channels and applies computational calibration to recover accuracy without additional memory access. Synthesized in Samsung 28nm technology at 800 MHz, EdgeXpert achieves up to 56.3% latency reduction and 44.1% energy reduction compared to prior works, while maintaining near-baseline accuracy.

ARXIV 2608.05303 ↗
cs.CL

Mood Matters: How Syntactic Sensitivity Undermines Safety Alignment

作者Alina Klerings, Jannik Brinkmann, Heiner Stuckenschmidt, Simone Paolo Ponzetto

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Large language models typically undergo post-training to align them with safety policies but there exist many sophisticated jailbreaks that sidestep established safeguards. For instance, prior work by Andriushchenko et al. (2025) has found that changing the grammatical tense from present to past can be enough to elicit harmful responses. In this work, we uncover a more general failure of non-imperative syntactic forms. We demonstrate that this syntactic vulnerability exists in 16 models up to 70B parameters, using behavioral evaluation. To investigate the root cause, we apply causal mediation analysis, finding that refusal is partially conditioned on upstream syntactic features. By steering these purely syntactic features we are able to trigger and suppress refusal. Finally, we trace this ill-conditioning to linguistically biased post-training data of open-source models and show that increasing syntactic diversity can mitigate the issue. Our findings suggest that current alignment approaches introduce confounders that prevent a pure semantic grounding of the refusal decision.

ARXIV 2608.05409 ↗
cs.CL

Evidence Lock Before Commitment: A Frozen Interface Degrades LLM-as-Judge Evaluation

作者Divyansh Singh

展开完整摘要收起摘要

LLM judges are often asked to extract criteria and evidence before choosing between candidate answers. This workflow assumes that the intermediate record preserves the information needed for a later verdict. For reasoning-capable models, visible field order does not reveal internal decision order, so we test an observable alternative: persist the evidence in one call and make it the exclusive input to the next. Across 24,000 judgments over HelpSteer3, FeedbackQA, and CoVal, we compare standard pairwise judging, structured one-call judging, two-call evidence locking, and three-call pointwise locking with Claude Sonnet 4.5 and GPT-5. Evidence locking reduces agreement with released human preferences by 4 to 6 percentage points and increases answer-order inconsistency by 8 to 10 points relative to structured one-call judging. Pointwise locking is also harmful, while structured evidence elicitation remains close to standard judging. The result holds for both judges and all three datasets. Persisted evidence can support auditability, but it should not replace the source answers at decision time.

ARXIV 2608.05353 ↗
cs.CL

Analysis of Numerical Localisation in LLM Translations

作者Patrizia Kaye

展开完整摘要收起摘要

The work of Tang et. al. (2025) on numerical translation is extended by analysing the capability of five large language models (LLMs) for the localisation of times, numbers, and dates instead of translation. Models were selected that could be loaded onto and run on commodity hardware and a baseline quality for each mode is computed, then three different strategies to improve on that accuracy were tested. In contrast to Tang et. al., it was discovered that on the tested LLMs, embedding the localisation principles into the prompt context provided a statistically significant improvement in accuracy compared to direct translation or the alternative strategies.

ARXIV 2608.05232 ↗
cs.AI

Evaluating and Improving Pedagogical Fit in LLM-Based AI Tutors with the Pedagogical Suitability Index

作者Benjamin Barlog, Hudson Craig, Zedong Peng

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as AI tutors, but a correct answer is not always a pedagogically appropriate one. In classroom learning, effective help depends not only on correctness, but also on whether a response matches the learner's current foundation, the course sequence, and the timing of concept introduction. Existing evaluations focus mainly on answer quality, leaving this instructional fit under-measured. We present the Pedagogical Suitability Index (PSI), a composite metric of six theory-informed sub-scores that evaluates how well LLM-generated tutoring responses align with learner readiness and curricular progression, and we further use PSI as a structured feedback signal for response improvement. We evaluate four LLM tutors (ChatGPT, Gemini, Gemma4, and Qwen3) across 240 scenario-based evaluations using paired standard and defective prompts, then apply a PSI-guided regeneration protocol to 62 weak-performing cases. Baseline differences across the four tested models were modest overall (PSI range: 0.557 to 0.638), and open-weight and closed models did not exhibit a clear separation in pedagogical fit. Under the tested prompt perturbations, overall PSI remained largely stable (Delta = -0.002), though sub-score trade-offs emerged. More importantly, PSI-guided feedback substantially improved weak-performing cases: 51 of 62 cases improved (82.3%). Focused manual evaluation of the 62 PSI-selected weak cases provides initial evidence that the identified weaknesses are instructionally meaningful and that many PSI-guided regenerations correspond to human-judged improvement. These results suggest that learner- and curriculum-aware alignment may matter more for effective tutoring than model category alone, and that such alignment is both measurable and improvable.

ARXIV 2608.05411 ↗
cs.CL

Constraint-First Reasoning: A Training-Free Protocol for Exploiting Answer-Space Constraints in Mathematical Problem Solving

作者Hongbo Ma, Bangji Yang, Yunqian Selina Cheng, Jiajun Fan, Hanwen Zhang, Ge Liu

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Large language models can derive a plausible mathematical object yet still violate explicit requirements--for example, by omitting a modular reduction, returning a non-integer, or using the wrong encoded answer form. We introduce Constraint-First Reasoning (CFR), a training-free two-stage prompting protocol: Stage 1 extracts and summarizes constraints entailed by the problem, and Stage 2 solves while checking intermediate and final results against that summary. Routed-CFR activates the two-stage protocol only when a text-only regex router detects restrictive cues; otherwise it uses direct chain-of-thought (CoT). Across AIME, CMIMC, BRUMO, and AIMO_AMC, the method improves direct CoT on multiple backbones. We further report convention-controlled routing experiments, matched prompting baselines, problem-level paired tests, decoding robustness, constraint-quality audits, total-token accounting, and an OlympiadBench evaluation. These analyses position CFR as a targeted test-time intervention whose benefit depends on recoverable constraints and reliable Stage 1 extraction, rather than as a general-purpose replacement for mathematical reasoning.

ARXIV 2608.05254 ↗
cs.AI

Counterfactual Analysis via Large Language Models

作者Zonghao Yang

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Counterfactual analysis aims to predict potential outcomes under hypothetical scenarios, offering valuable insights for decision-making. This paper investigates the application of large language models (LLMs), specifically the GPT-3.5 model, for counterfactual analysis. We focus on the online lending context, where the counterfactual return on investment (ROI) is crucial for evaluating different interest rate schemes. We begin by assessing the predictive performance of GPT and comparing it with advanced machine learning algorithms. The results show that prompt engineering can significantly enhance GPT's predictions, with the R-squared increasing from 1.97% to 2.84%, closely approaching the 3.48% achieved by gradient-boosted regression. Subsequently, we utilize GPT to generate counterfactual ROIs under a set of alternative interest rates. GPT exhibits logical coherence and causal reasoning in its responses. The findings underscore the potential of LLMs as effective tools for counterfactual analysis in online lending, suggesting broader applications for LLMs in various predictive and decision-making contexts.

ARXIV 2608.05367 ↗
cs.CV

GeoReward: Mitigating Contextual Variable Overestimation in Vision-Language Models for Cross-Market Preference Prediction

作者Shuo Liu, Huixiang Cai, Weiru Zhang, Xiaoyi Zeng

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Vision-language models excel in many multimodal tasks but remain prone to a subtle yet impactful failure mode: they tend to overestimate dominant visual-textual cues while underestimating sparse but decision-critical contextual variables. This issue, which we term Contextual Variable Overestimation (CVE), becomes particularly evident in real-world applications such as predicting advertisement image preferences across diverse geographic markets. For instance, when a VLM is asked to choose between two product images tailored for different countries, it often defaults to a consistent output, ignoring ground-truth regional variations. This collapse occurs because pervasive high-volume signals, such as product attributes and dense image patches, overwhelm the few but critical tokens that encode market-specific context. To address CVE, we first collect a new multimodal dataset of real advertising creatives and their click-through performance across multiple countries. We then introduce GeoReward, a reward model designed to predict ad image preferences across diverse geographic markets. GeoReward integrates three purpose-built mechanisms: (1) Market-Aware Retrieval Augmentation, (2) Context-Guided Visual Modulation, (3) Selective Sensitivity Loss. Furthermore, we demonstrate how GeoReward can guide the fine-tuning of RL for a VLM to generate background designs for text-to-image models, producing market-aware advertising creatives. Experiments validate that our framework mitigates CVE and outperforms existing baselines. This work not only diagnoses a systematic bias in VLMs toward dominant perceptual features but also delivers a targeted solution for applications where sparse contextual variables govern decision-making.

ARXIV 2608.04504 ↗
cs.LG

Optimizing What Policies Learn From: Recoverability-aware Rollout Intervention Learning

作者Zheyuan Zhang, Manqing Mao, Hong Wang, Zhuoer Wang, Samson Koelle, Jie Yuan, Yanjun Lin, James Feng, Nikki Lijing Kuang, Yanfang Ye, Wei Niu

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Critic-free group-based reinforcement learning has become a scalable approach for post-training large language models. However, most existing methods allocate the same number of rollouts to every task and trajectory state, even though some rollouts provide much more useful learning signals than others. Recent work has started to treat rollout generation as an adaptive decision, but two important limitations remain. First, intervention strategies are often based on fixed heuristics and therefore cannot adjust as the policy changes during training. Second, these methods usually decide only how many rollouts to generate, without explicitly controlling where and how to intervene. To address these limitations, we propose Recoverability-Aware Intervention Learning (RAIL), a training-time framework that learns how to generate rollouts based on the improvement produced by each intervention. RAIL models intervention selection as an online contextual-bandit problem and trains a recoverability controller using intervention traces collected through a shadow-to-live procedure. This allows the controller to keep learning while the underlying policy evolves. We evaluate RAIL in terms of effectiveness, adaptivity, expressiveness, and efficiency. Across multiple settings, RAIL consistently improves performance under limited rollout budgets. These results show that recoverability-aware intervention provides a principled way to generate more informative and less redundant rollouts, leading to stronger learning signals during post-training.

ARXIV 2608.05080 ↗
cs.LG

Agentic Reinforcement Learning with Observation-Calibrated Self-Distillation

作者Yi Yang, Cong Qin, Xiaodan Liu, Chishui Chen, Qing Dong, Yan Zhang, Cao Liu, Zhao Yang, Lu Pan, Jiaye Lin, Yi Feng

展开完整摘要收起摘要

Large language model agents are commonly trained through reinforcement learning with sparse trajectory-level rewards, which offer limited guidance on how strongly individual tokens should be updated. On-Policy Self-Distillation (OPSD) addresses this by re-scoring generated tokens under a privileged replay view to obtain dense, token-level supervision. However, we identify a confounding issue: the resulting support may reflect both the privileged information contained in the replay view and score shifts induced by the replay scaffold, making it difficult to attribute the support specifically to that information. This issue is especially pronounced when future environment observations serve as privileged information, since replaying them requires reconstructing an extended scaffold that itself perturbs token scores. To resolve this confounding, we propose Observation-Calibrated Self-Distillation (OCSD), which contrasts two structurally matched replay views, Full and Observation-Ablated, differing only in whether the actual future observation is present, to derive an observation residual that discounts score changes shared by the replay scaffold. OCSD then applies this residual to modulate token-level GRPO updates at high-uncertainty steps, while preserving the trajectory-level update direction. Experiments on ALFWorld, WebShop, and Search-QA across three Qwen3 model scales show that OCSD consistently outperforms strong baselines. Diagnostic analyses further confirm that the calibrated residual aligns better with local environment feedback. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/yiy1x/OCSD.

ARXIV 2608.04788 ↗
eess.SY

ORACLE: A Multi-Objective Reinforcement Learning-Based Analog Circuit Design Optimizer with Large Language Models-Guided Exploration

作者Osei Brempong, Mohammed Ayman Habib, Vivan Poddar, Morteza Fayazi

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Analog circuit design automation using reinforcement learning (RL) has emerged as a promising approach for reducing manual effort. However, many existing RL-based methods focus on single-objective optimization. Even methods designed for multi-objective (MO) problems often reduce multiple design specifications to a single scalar reward. This simplification limits the ability to capture the true Pareto trade-off among competing objectives and often leads to suboptimal designs. Moreover, requiring the model to be retrained from scratch whenever the desired MO specifications change remains a key limitation. To address these challenges, we present ORACLE, an open-source RL-based framework for MO analog circuit design optimization that replaces scalar reward optimization with vector-valued learning and preference-aware conditioning. ORACLE represents a true MO analog circuit design optimizer that uses a preference vector to specify the relative weights of multiple objectives, enabling a single trained model to generate designs across diverse trade-off settings without retraining. We further propose two preference-guidance strategies, namely normalized-weight guidance and cosine-aligned guidance, to improve convergence. In addition, we incorporate a large language model (LLM)-guided action selection mechanism to filter actions that are likely to lead to suboptimal designs or increased runtime. Our results show that, on multiple circuit topologies with 2,000 test cases, ORACLE reduces runtime by 20.4x - 104.4x compared to state-of-the-art approaches. It also meets 99.9% of the 2,000 target specifications, and achieves 5.1x - 318.6x better figure of merit in the resulting output specs.

ARXIV 2608.04999 ↗
cs.CV

Teaching MLLMs to Say No: Generalized Referring Expression Comprehension via Refusal Calibrated GRPO

作者Xuzheng Yang, Jun Ling, Tao Huang, Caiyan Qin, Peng Wang

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We tackle the challenging yet underexplored task of Generalized Referring Expression Comprehension (GREC), which requires a model to localize the object described by a textual expression when it exists (positive sample) and to refuse output when it does not (negative sample). Although Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) excel at localizing existing objects, they often fail to reject nonexistent ones due to the absence of negative samples during training, producing hallucinated bounding boxes. Existing post-training approaches such as supervised fine-tuning (SFT) and reinforcement learning (RL) enhance refusal behavior but usually degrade localization accuracy on positive samples, undermining the model's core competence. To address this, we propose Refusal-Calibrated Group Relative Policy Optimization (RC-GRPO), a calibrated RL strategy that strengthens the refusal ability of MLLMs while preserving localization performance. It enforces "None" outputs in rollouts for valid advantage estimation on negative samples and applies a penalty to prevent over-refusal on positives, achieving a balanced trade-off between accuracy and reliability. A second-stage reasoning reinforcement further consolidates causal understanding and interpretability. Experiments on three GREC benchmarks demonstrate that RC-GRPO attains superior localization accuracy while maintaining strong refusal capability.

ARXIV 2608.04698 ↗
cs.CV

VoxStruct3D: Structure-Leading Flow Matching for Voxel-Space 3D MRI Synthesis

作者Fang Li, Yang Gao, Shihao Zou, Weixin Si, Hongyu Wu, Qing Xia, Shuai Li, Aimin Hao

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High-fidelity 3D MRI synthesis requires both globally coherent anatomy and fine-grained voxel-level detail. Although latent diffusion makes volumetric generation tractable, its image autoencoder introduces a reconstruction bottleneck that can limit the fine detail recoverable in the final volume. We present VoxStruct3D, a voxel-space flow-matching framework that directly models full-resolution MRI volumes using a clean-data prediction objective. Its Volumetric Voxel Generator (VVG) combines factorized 3D patch embedding with overlapping upsampling, time-modulated residual refinement, and skip fusion, enabling neighboring tokens to jointly reconstruct shared voxel regions and suppress patch-boundary artifacts. To complement direct voxel-space modeling with an explicit anatomical prior, we further introduce a Structure-First, Image-Follows (SFIF) strategy. A frozen pretrained 3D medical encoder and a StructVAE extract compact structure tokens that preserve dominant anatomy, while a structure-leading schedule keeps their trajectory ahead of the image trajectory. Patch-Aligned RoPE spatially aligns the unequal token grids, and asymmetric attention enforces one-way guidance from structure to image. Experiments on pathological and healthy T1-weighted brain MRI datasets show that VoxStruct3D achieves the strongest overall performance across feature-distribution alignment, sample diversity, and perceptual quality, producing anatomically coherent and visually realistic volumes.

ARXIV 2608.04557 ↗
cs.CV

OPD-V: Visual On-Policy Self-Distillation with Modality Balance

作者Aniri, Jinhe Bi, Peng Liao, Zengjie Jin, Volker Tresp, Fei Shen, Yunpu Ma, Tat-Seng Chua

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On-Policy Self-Distillation (OPSD) has become a standard post-training approach for improving visual reasoning in multimodal large language models (MLLMs). Existing methods draw privileged information from diverse input sources to guide self-distillation. Yet these designs overlook Modality Imbalance, a challenge inherent to MLLM reasoning. When textual information dominates generation, the model cannot fully integrate its multimodal input. Consequently, carefully designed privileged information remains underused, limiting the effectiveness of OPSD. To examine this limitation, we construct a Positive Teacher with the Zoom-In Image and a Negative Teacher with the Mask Image, which exhibit different degrees of Modality Imbalance. Changes in their reasoning correctness and token logits reveal that Modality Balance can itself serve as privileged information. Motivated by this finding, we introduce OPD-V, a visual OPSD paradigm that instantiates such information through the Positive Teacher and Negative Teacher. Positive Modality-Balance Logits Margins define a Modality-Balance Trust Region that selects the on-policy tokens used for self-distillation. Experiments across 6 benchmarks, 4 MLLM backbones, and 5 post-training methods show that OPD-V consistently improves reasoning performance while reducing training cost.

ARXIV 2608.05131 ↗
cs.LG

Not Every Divergence Should Be Suppressed: Counterfactual Recoverability in On-Policy Distillation

作者De Jiang, Zhengyang Zhang, Kehong Yuan, Shaohua Ma

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On-policy distillation (OPD) supervises student-visited trajectories, yet divergence-based rules cannot determine whether an erroneous prefix remains correctable. We formulate this decision as counterfactual recoverability and replay each error state through budget-matched teacher-continuation and rollback branches. Based on their relative success, states are categorized as recoverable, irreversible-but-avoidable, or ambiguous, and these labels guide whether training retains, rolls back, or conventionally supervises the corresponding trajectory. On AIME branch diagnostics, the mean continuation-minus-rollback effect is 0.185 for recoverable states and -1.000 for irreversible-but-avoidable states, demonstrating opposite intervention preferences. A branch-derived recoverability proxy achieves an AUC of 1.000, substantially outperforming divergence alone at 0.392. Across frozen evaluations, recoverability-aware control achieves the strongest recorded performance, reaching 0.578 success on held-out AIME2025 compared with 0.517 for the best baseline. It also improves AIME2024-2025 average@32 from 0.2656 to 0.3125 and GPQA-Diamond average@32 from 0.2702 to 0.3070. Component ablations further show that retaining teacher-correctable prefixes provides the largest individual contribution. These findings establish recoverability as an outcome-grounded decision variable for selective supervision in OPD.

ARXIV 2608.04408 ↗
cs.LG

SPOT: Sparse Probing and Outcome Calibration for On-Policy Distillation

作者Zikun Qu, Min Zhang, Mingze Kong, Zhiwei Shang, Yikun Ban, Shuang Qiu, Zhongxiang Dai

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On-policy distillation (OPD) provides dense teacher supervision on student-generated trajectories, but standard reverse-KL training can assign insufficient probability to other plausible continuations. Teacher entropy alone does not reveal whether uncertainty is concentrated among a few plausible next tokens or dispersed over a long probability tail, nor whether the student already represents those candidates well. Moreover, local teacher probabilities may not predict downstream success. We introduce Sparse Probing and Outcome-calibrated Targets OPD (SPOT), which addresses two coupled decisions, where to probe and what to distill, through an acquisition--exploration--exploitation procedure. During acquisition, a position-level score combines normalized teacher entropy, the probability mass captured by a small top-$k$ candidate set, and student--teacher mismatch to allocate a limited probing budget. During exploration, SPOT evaluates teacher-proposed candidates through verifier-scored student continuations. During exploitation, these outcomes produce a closed-form, KL-regularized target that favors candidates with better downstream outcomes while remaining anchored to the teacher distribution. Extensive experiments across multiple student models and reasoning benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of SPOT in improving reasoning performance while balancing solution quality and coverage.

ARXIV 2608.04419 ↗
cs.AI

Privileged, but Biased: How PI-Conditioned Teachers Break Self-Distillation

作者Sarthak Harne, Chinmay Karkar, Yash Pandya, Ahmed Awadallah, Akshay Nambi

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Self-distillation (SD) has emerged as a compute-efficient alternative to reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards: a self-teacher, conditioned on privileged information (PI) about the answer such as a reference solution, supplies dense per-token supervision to a student that never sees it. Reported gains, however, come almost exclusively from narrow, low-difficulty settings, leaving open a basic question: as a lone objective, with no reward term, does SD teach anything? We reproduce SDPO's reported gains in its easy setting, then apply the identical setup to difficult tasks and find that it does not. Across question answering, mathematics, coding, and multi-turn agentic tool use, across reasoning modes, model sizes, and forms of PI, and under both the SDPO and OPSD recipes, the per-token loss falls steadily while validation accuracy does not improve and typically degrades. We explain this failure through a single causal chain from the loss to the model it produces. The chain begins with PI bias: having seen one particular reference solution, the teacher's per-token target is pulled toward that trajectory rather than toward correctness in general, an effect we quantify with a PI Bias Score. Trained to match this target everywhere, the student's objective becomes nearly blind to whether a rollout is correct, and the loss it assigns falls mostly on low-information tokens like stopwords, punctuation, uncertainty markers, rather than those that determine the answer; within correct rollouts the exploratory tokens incur the highest divergence, so it penalizes the hesitation that reasoning requires. The result is a flatter, less decisive student that is no better at reasoning: as a lone objective, SD optimizes a signal decoupled from task success.

ARXIV 2608.04794 ↗
cs.CV

Poly-OPD: Heterogeneous Multi-Teacher On-Policy Distillation for Capability-Selectable Flow Models

作者Siming Fu, Haojun Xu, Ruizhe He, Zheming Fu, Hualiang Wang, Jie Huang, Xiaoxiao Ma, Mingchen Zhong, Weihu Huang, Xiaoxuan He, Linjiang Huang, Si Liu

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Leading open text-to-image models often carry complementary strengths: one may lead on preference-aligned aesthetics while another follows compositional instructions more faithfully. However, differences in their autoencoders and noise schedules make it difficult to transfer these strengths across models. In this paper, we present Poly-OPD, a framework that can consolidate complementary strengths of heterogeneous teachers into a single compact flow-matching student. To bridge the incompatible latent spaces of different teachers, Poly-OPD performs on-policy distillation through a pixel bridge. Each student-generated image is re-encoded by a selected teacher's encoder and refined from a noise level matched by magnitude under the teacher's noise schedule. The resulting target is further matched to the student in frozen DINOv2 space, enabling supervision across incompatible latent spaces. To retain complementary capabilities without cross-teacher interference, Poly-OPD uses a gradient compatibility diagnostic to organize its adapters: attention LoRA modules are shared across teachers, whereas feed-forward adapters remain teacher-specific. During distillation, a gap-aware curriculum devotes more training to compositional categories where the student still falls short of the teacher. As each gap narrows, training shifts toward categories with larger remaining gaps. By distilling FLUX.1-dev and Z-Image into a 2.5B SD3.5-Medium student, Poly-OPD improves GenEval from 67.3 to 73.3, surpassing both larger teachers, and raises DrawBench HPSv3 from 9.34 to 11.35, consolidating both strengths within a switchable model.

ARXIV 2608.04349 ↗